Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.020902 0.023086 0.025268 0.027607 0.030038 0.032485 0.035131
2025-03-09 0.016567 0.020032 0.023624 0.027597 0.031843 0.036224 0.041062
2025-03-16 0.013593 0.017705 0.022093 0.027060 0.032471 0.038141 0.044490
2025-03-23 0.011694 0.016296 0.021332 0.027141 0.033566 0.040380 0.048085
2025-03-30 0.009894 0.014808 0.020326 0.026810 0.034083 0.041879 0.050771
2025-04-06 0.008271 0.013374 0.019262 0.026307 0.034313 0.042982 0.052947
2025-04-13 0.006508 0.011613 0.017699 0.025135 0.033710 0.043093 0.053967
2025-04-20 0.005818 0.011123 0.017589 0.025594 0.034909 0.045166 0.057111
2025-04-27 0.004840 0.010169 0.016857 0.025275 0.035178 0.046164 0.059029
2025-05-04 0.003884 0.009148 0.015979 0.024731 0.035146 0.046790 0.060501
2025-05-11 0.003350 0.008662 0.015739 0.024927 0.035950 0.048338 0.062985
2025-05-18 0.002756 0.008023 0.015262 0.024805 0.036356 0.049416 0.064920
2025-05-25 0.002099 0.007253 0.014647 0.024581 0.036740 0.050583 0.067099
2025-06-01 0.001572 0.006620 0.014198 0.024572 0.037402 0.052104 0.069723
2025-06-08 0.001012 0.005778 0.013392 0.024062 0.037423 0.052850 0.071435
2025-06-15 0.000692 0.005303 0.013066 0.024139 0.038133 0.054379 0.074023
2025-06-22 0.000374 0.004674 0.012464 0.023825 0.038342 0.055303 0.075900
2025-06-29 0.000134 0.004021 0.011766 0.023348 0.038323 0.055940 0.077427
2025-07-06 NaN 0.003155 0.010636 0.022237 0.037482 0.055578 0.077779
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002991 0.010644 0.022672 0.038569 0.057495 0.080762
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002553 0.010139 0.022370 0.038708 0.058271 0.082407
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002080 0.009504 0.021855 0.038557 0.058685 0.083616
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001884 0.009367 0.022040 0.039294 0.060158 0.086056